7-Day Forecast - China
We use the last 4 full days of data to forecast the next one week. You can update the counts for the last 4 days on the right and hit the "Run" button to re-run the analysis.
Hit the "Initial State" tab to see some work on how this simulation is performed. More information available at: www.linkedin.com/pulse/corona-virus-7-day-forecast-srinath-sridhar
You can get the latest data from:
Sample an outcome from the outcomes array based on the corresponding probabilities in the probabilities array.
Creates a radio button parameter with name and have each option in the options array selectable. Returns the selected option.
Create a textbox parameter with name and a required default value. Returns the value of the textbox.
scatter_graph(data, xlabel, ylabel)
Create a graph based on a data array and plot (data.xlabel, data.ylabel) on it. Can also pass xmin=null, xmax=null, ymin=null, ymax=null as added arguments.
Calling this function, stops the simulation.
Returns the average of the values in the array. It can be handy to store the values of metrics from each simulation run and average it across all runs to obtain an estimate of the metric.
Returns the estimated error (1.96 x standard error) of the average of the values at 95% confidence. In simple terms, you can assume that the estimate average(values) has error bounds +/- error_average(values). It can be handy to store the values of metrics from each simulation run and estimate both the average and the error of the average across all runs.
Returns the standard deviation of the values in the passed in array.